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Japan's 31-year winning streak breaks.

posted by Avatar Nica 16 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

Interestingly, the news that Japan has finally recorded its first year-on-year trade deficit since 1980--ending an incredible streak of 31 years of surplus (the Miami Marlins, formerly known as the Florida Marlins, could use some of that magic)--  read more
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Who backstops the backstop?

posted by Avatar Nica 16 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

I recently succinctly summarized my view of stocks with the Wily Coyote analogy. I got one very good succinct comment, and I am paraphrasing; I agree with you Jack but you have missed a lot of profit along the way.  read more
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Is recession dead ahead? If so, it is Wiley Coyote time!

posted by Avatar Nica 23 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

I think we are nearing a major Wiley Coyote moment for Mr. Market. Despite recent joy over some of the economic numbers, recession in the US is still very much in play; if so, S&P 500 Index and Crude Oil, seemingly joined at the "risk on" hip joi  read more
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The short of a "lifetime"! A trip down memory lane...

posted by Avatar Nica 52 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

About fifteen years ago I remember when the guru-in-chief for Morgan Stanley was Barton Biggs. He is a very bright man and has had many investment successes, so don't get me wrong when I share this.  read more
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A $1 trillion Merry Christmas, more or less!

posted by Avatar Nica 52 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

The $50 billion in renewed FX swap lines at the beginning of December was a nice stocking stuffer for the eurozone. And you might recall the recent disclosure of the $7.7 trillion that the Federal Reserve loaned out to global banks to stem the im  read more
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"... an artificial hierarchical oligopoly ..."

posted by Avatar Nica 64 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 64 days ago

I read an article this morning suggesting the entitlement generation is ruining American culture. No arguments here. Join the club.  read more
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Letting a good crisis go to waste: will they do it again?

posted by Avatar Nica 71 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 71 days ago

Back in 2007 some no-name GOP political candidate with two first names emphasized the need to restructure our monetary system. But he had a hunch government would not even consider tackling the problem until a major crisis descended upon the US f  read more
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Santa Ben's Wild Helicopter Ride

posted by Avatar Nica 71 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

When you think of what happened to our light bulbs you just shake your head and say: I couldn't make this &*^% up if I tried! Sadly, when we watch the actions of the Fed we do the same.  read more
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Mind the Ghost of Currency Currents Past.

posted by Avatar Nica 78 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 77 days ago

We have been saying for years now that Germany is sucking the wind out of Europe. But, then again that should be a surprise to exactly no one who ever bothered to consider the initial structure of the so-called common monetary union.  read more
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What comes after B?

posted by Avatar Nica 80 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 79 days ago

Self-reinforcing downside of G-3 feedback loop being driven by the Double-Ds of Deflation - deleveraging and falling demand  read more
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Same old solution is a setup for 5,000 on the Dow. Crazy

posted by Avatar Nica 82 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 81 days ago

You remember the old lawyer joke: Why do researchers prefer to use lawyers instead of rats in laboratory experiments? Because there are certain things rats won't do!  read more
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The Global Initiative and ECB to the Rescue

posted by Avatar Nica 91 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 91 days ago

Italy to vote on cuts, US applies pressure: Italy's Senate is set to vote on austerity measures demanded by the European Union to avert a euro zone meltdown, after U.S. President Barack Obama ratcheted up pressure for more dramatic action from th  read more