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Running for the exits of ephemeral fundamental expectations!

posted by Avatar Nica 387 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 387 days ago

Earlier in the year when JR and I did our "Best Guess" Issue for 2011, aka our "Forecast" Issue, we talked about the key linkages in the global economy; I shared these again during my most recent webinar sponsored by Mirus Futures and CME. I thin  read more
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Eurozone periphery: If this is success I'd hate to see failu

posted by Avatar Nica 388 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 388 days ago

As I was perusing the very fine library of what Reuters calls its "eurozone crises graphs" I ran across this on yesterday and shared it with our Members. At no point in time while viewing anything on this graph did I think of "favorable or desire  read more
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Let's get real and Fire the Fed!

posted by Avatar Nica 390 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 390 days ago

Is the word "gutless" too harsh a description of the FOMC members? Or maybe I have it completely wrong, as it takes guts to take such a haphazard leap into monetary experimentation at such a critical time for the US and global economy.  read more
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Ben "Machiavelli Sun-Tzu" Bernanke holds the power!

posted by Avatar Nica 392 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

Commodities investment seems to be taking on a Malthus-like mindset. But there are some reasons why current expectations could be upset quickly and most of them start with Ben Machiavelli Sun-Tzu Bernanke.…  read more
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Ugly Buck-ling Makes the Dodos Look Good.

posted by Avatar Nica 401 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 401 days ago

Maybe the European Central Bank hikes interest rates again as soon as June. Maybe the US Congress will continue to butt heads on deficit reduction plans. Maybe the Federal Reserve will resort to some new form of economic stimulus, aka QE3  read more
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Run China, run!

posted by Avatar Nica 407 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 407 days ago

China continues to believe it can make its problems just disappear. Running a country via a committee leads to that conclusion. The latest attempts, so far successful, have been the disappearance of anyone who comes close to saying something cons  read more
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Is it time for a proper pounding?

posted by Avatar Nica 410 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

One of our background themes, no great shakes as others hold the same view, has been the idea the Bank of England summons any available raw material to try to avoid hiking interest rates. Just maybe today they got it, and the British pound is act  read more
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Being "smart" doesn't mean you will make money in FX

posted by Avatar Nica 417 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily made popular 417 days ago

I was on the radio last Saturday to discuss currencies. Unfortunately I had some phone troubles and couldn't finish the interview.  read more
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It's a banking crisis too...

posted by Avatar Nica 418 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

It appears the European Central Bank is going to hike interest rates this week. Of course inflation is the reason, or should I say, inflation inside Germany is the reason. All proving once again what the euro experiment is all about…  read more
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Feeling Dollar-Bearish?

posted by Avatar Nica 421 days ago in Technical, Fundamental, Daily

The euro appears contained today. But what’s new? The upcoming jobs report is the reason the euro isn’t climbing again, even though next week the European Central Bank is highly expected to move interest rates up by 25 basis points.  read more
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The Fall of Merkel's Party (and the Euro)

posted by Avatar Nica 425 days ago in EUR made popular 425 days ago

Give the Greens a round of applause! Over the weekend, the Green Party managed to win the state elections in Baden-Watternberg and end the 58-year rule of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU).  read more
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Mar. 21 - Mar. 25, 2011 Weekly Winner: Euro/Yen for the Win!

posted by Avatar Nica 425 days ago in EUR, JPY made popular 425 days ago

Boomshakalaka! We've got the Final Four coming up next weekend, but it's still Monday and y'all know what that means - it's time for my Weekly Winner! I've got a sweet-looking setup on EUR/JPY that in hindsight, I should have tried my luck on!  read more