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The Budget Deficit and Declining Dollar
People always complain about the falling dollar, and the rising prices of gas and food, but I think few realize how the dollar’s fall, and rising oil and food costs, are intimately linked to the government (and trade) deficit.
4 votes
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Consumers Shouldn't Be So Gloomy
Consumer confidence (the term used by the Conference Board) and consumer sentiment (the label used by the University of Michigan) are not quite at their all-time lows, but they are very close to them.
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Consumer Confidence At 16 Year Low
The burden of high energy prices and a weak labor market has sent consumer confidence to the lowest levels in 16 years. Top that off with the fact that the Dow cracked the March lows Tuesday morning and the Fed’s deliberation Tuesday and Wednesda
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UK Retail Sales Rise, Despite the Economy - How Did That Hap
Macro Man's going to have to figure out how to assign a macro to the shift-F9 keystroke that will automatically type out "it isn't getting any easier, is it?
5 votes
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Is Fed Rate Policy Affected by Election Year Politics?
There has been a lot of talk that the Federal Reserve could hold back on raising interest rates because this is an election year. The fear is that a rate hike could create unwanted political reverberations which could be legitimate if it wasn’t f
7 votes
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Intense Inflation Pressure: Fed, Bank of England Have Their
US industrial production fell for the second consecutive month in May, falling 0.2%, following an unrevised 0.7% decline in April. This was worse than the 0.2% gain expected as utilities posted a sharp decline in output.
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Food Inflation Vs. Oil Inflation
Listening to farmers and farm lobbyists and congressmen from farming states and ethanol producers and ethanol environmentalists and food companies - you’ll often hear claims that the massive increase in food prices (especially corn) is mostly due
2 votes
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Inflation Fears Are Inflated
It wasn't that long ago that everyone was worried about deflation. Now, with soaring commodity prices, especially the ones that are visible to consumers, the pendulum has swung the other way.
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What Happens If Tuesday's U.K. CPI Is Over 3%
The British pound was hands down the best performing currency today as it rose against the US dollar, Euro and Japanese Yen. This was partially due to dollar weakness and the expectation that tomorrow’s consumer price figures will be hot.
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Still Premature to Buy Dollars
It's not often that developments in the political sphere bring a smile to Macro Man's face, but he has to admit that he enjoyed the spectacle of Ireland's rejection of the Lisbon Treaty, which was announced on Friday. Not necessarily because the
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Rate-Hike Speculation and Retail Sales Prime Dollar for Near
The near to medium-term outlook of the US dollar in the currency markets is one of relative strength, particularly against the Euro, Swiss franc, British pound and Japanese yen.
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Crude Oil Rebounds From Early Slide
Crude oil futures rallied in the afternoon Thursday following a weak morning that saw energy come under pressure from an advance in the dollar.


